Progress

• https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/IdeaPF.pdf

• Science Is Getting Less Bang for Its Buck

• Is Science slowing down

• Progress in the 50-70s from increasing number of people going to universities, increasing number of scientists and engineers

• Will the next wave of progress come from the developing nations? (China, India?, Africa?)

Unprecedented economic growth (in the USA) from 1870 to 1970, due to 2nd industrial revolution

• elictricty, light, evelators, machines
• internal combustion engine, vehicles, air transport,
• telephone, phonograph, movies, radio, TV
• Running water, sewer pipers, conquest of infant mortality
• chemicals, plastics, antibiotics, modern medicine
• utter change in working conditions, job & home

3rd industrial revolution since 1960s: only evolution

• entertainment: TV from color to time-shifting and streaming
• information: from mainframes to PCs, web and e-commerce
• from land lines to mobile phones
• productivity enhancers, atm, bar code scanning

https://www.heise.de/hintergrund/Die-Maer-vom-rasenden-Fortschritt-3813149.html

• Talk by Robert Gordon

• Slides

• Siehe auch S-Kurven-Konzept